Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000920 1.057965e-03 0.001198 0.001349 0.001509 0.001671 0.001847
2025-07-20 0.000666 8.567900e-04 0.001058 0.001285 0.001529 0.001784 0.002068
2025-07-27 0.000533 7.652183e-04 0.001020 0.001315 0.001641 0.001987 0.002378
2025-08-03 0.000398 6.538677e-04 0.000948 0.001298 0.001694 0.002122 0.002611
2025-08-10 0.000258 5.151013e-04 0.000830 0.001219 0.001671 0.002166 0.002741
2025-08-17 0.000168 4.247717e-04 0.000759 0.001187 0.001694 0.002258 0.002919
2025-08-24 0.000084 3.191682e-04 0.000657 0.001108 0.001657 0.002278 0.003013
2025-08-31 0.000042 2.624839e-04 0.000611 0.001093 0.001690 0.002374 0.003190
2025-09-07 0.000020 2.283609e-04 0.000591 0.001108 0.001757 0.002507 0.003407
2025-09-14 0.000002 1.763233e-04 0.000538 0.001075 0.001764 0.002567 0.003540
2025-09-21 NaN 1.545616e-04 0.000528 0.001097 0.001836 0.002703 0.003756
2025-09-28 NaN 1.487090e-04 0.000542 0.001152 0.001947 0.002884 0.004025
2025-10-05 NaN 9.991231e-05 0.000487 0.001124 0.001975 0.002990 0.004236
2025-10-12 NaN 5.233811e-05 0.000416 0.001070 0.001970 0.003058 0.004406
2025-10-19 NaN 3.641798e-05 0.000406 0.001103 0.002075 0.003260 0.004732
2025-10-26 NaN 1.553127e-05 0.000367 0.001090 0.002120 0.003388 0.004974
2025-11-02 NaN 5.154210e-08 0.000297 0.001019 0.002085 0.003416 0.005096
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000256 0.000990 0.002103 0.003509 0.005292
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000196 0.000918 0.002058 0.003520 0.005391
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000170 0.000904 0.002093 0.003629 0.005604
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000159 0.000918 0.002165 0.003785 0.005873
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000130 0.000888 0.002172 0.003858 0.006041
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000124 0.000909 0.002252 0.004022 0.006319